MLB Free Picks Today: Expert Baseball Predictions, Odds & Betting Analysis




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1 Dimer on Marlins +124
1* on Marlins +124
Dave's Thursday Free Play:
1* on Blue Jays/Yankees OVER 8
The Key: Carlos Rodon is working his way back from injury. He is 0-1 with a 5.63 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 2 starts this year yielding 5 ER and 8 walks in 8 innings. Control has been an issue for him. Rodon is 2-3 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts against Toronto. He yielded 6 ER in 2 1/3 innings in his last start against the Blue Jays. Toronto has a tired bullpen and will need to make this a bullpen game starting with Braydon Fisher with Spencer Miles getting the majority of the work after. After having to face each team's best starter in Schlittler and Yesavage yesterday, hitters should have their way here taking a big step down in class. Take the OVER.
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Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Rockies/Diamondbacks OVER 9
The Arizona Diamondbacks really profile as an OVER team scoring 4.6 runs per game and allowing 4.7 runs per game this season. They have gone for 9 or more combined runs in six of their last eight games overall.
The Rockies and their opponents have gone for at least 9 combined runs in seven of their last eight games overall. They are allowing 5.3 runs per game. They will be making this a bullpen game starting with Zachary Agnos, who has a 5.59 ERA this season while allowing 18 earned runs in 29 innings. He allowed 2 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of a 9-1 home loss to the Diamondbacks on Friday.
Eduardo Rodriquez allowed 3 earned runs and 9 hits in 5 1/3 innings to the Rockies in his last start on May 16th. Getting to see him for the 2nd time in 6 days is a big advantage for Colorado hitters. Rodriquez is 3-1 with a 4.95 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in seven career starts against the Rockies. He has posted a 7.16 ERA in three career home starts against them, allowing 13 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings.
The Rockies and Diamondbacks have combined for 10 or more runs in seven of their last nine meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.
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1* Free Pick on Braves/Marlins under 8
1* Free Sharp Play on Braves -135
Ricky's 1* play on TOR.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- NY Yankees is 4-8 in its last 12 games.
- The Blue Jays are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
- The Blue Jays are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Verdict: The value is on the Road Underdog.
1 Unit FREE PLAY on A's +105
Luis Severino has been much better on the road than at home over the last two seasons since moving to Sutter Health Park. He went 6-2 with a 3.02 ERA in 14 road starts last season, and he is 1-3 with a 3.56 ERA in six road starts this season. He has a 3.38 ERA in seven previous starts against Los Angeles. The Angels are just 6-23 in their last 29 games overall while scoring 2 runs or fewer in 18 of those 29 games. Jose Soriano has given up 11 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings in his last two home starts. He has given up 13 earned runs in 8 innings in his last two starts against the A's. Give me the A's.
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1* Best Bet on Blue Jays +1½
No analysis provided.
PSP Data Driven 1* Angels.
At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.
Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog.The A's are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. The Angels are 3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.