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1% GOLD RUSH on San Jose State -2½
For my top free pick in college football this Friday, I'm focusing on the BYU Cougars hosting the West Virginia Mountaineers. West Virginia has struggled early, entering with a 2-3 record, while BYU is riding high as an undefeated 4-0 team, making them a popular choice among bettors. The Cougars have covered the spread in four of their last five games, keeping them firmly on the radar. In contrast, West Virginia has failed to cover in their last two outings. However, I’m not sold on BYU’s resume. Their wins over Stanford, ECU, and Colorado don’t justify laying this many points against a capable Mountaineers squad.
**Play: West Virginia + the points (Rotation #311)**
***Don’t miss my TITANIUM BEST BET in college football this Friday! I’m 10-2 (83%) in my last 12 Titanium Best Bets, and over the past two seasons, I’ve gone 104-73 (59%) in college football picks.***
Jack's Free Pick Friday: Western Kentucky/Delaware OVER 61
Two teams that are all offense and no defense square off Friday night in what should be a shootout between the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and the Delaware Blue Hens. These are also two offenses that like to play with tempo and two offenses that rank in the Top 25 in pass rate. The forecast looks great for a shootout as well with temps in the 60's, very light winds and no precipitation.
Western Kentucky ranks 24th in tempo snapping the ball every 24.3 seconds. The Hilltoppers are scoring 35.0 points per game, averaging 447.8 yards per game and 6.2 yards per play. They are averaging 321.4 passing yards per game behind QB Maverick McIvor, who has already thrown for 1,475 yards and 11 TD in just five games.
Delaware ranks 32nd in tempo snapping the ball every 24.7 seconds. The Blue Hens are averaging 31.0 points per game, 418.8 yards per game and 6.0 yards per play despite playing a pretty tough schedule of opposing defenses. QB Nicholas Mincucci is completing 65.2% of his passes with an 8-to-2 TD/INT ratio while also rushing for 4 scores. Senior WR Kyle Duplessis has 20 receptions for 306 yards and 2 TD, while senior RB Jo'Nathan Silver has 326 rushing yards and 3 TD on 7.2 per carry.
Against the only non cupcake that Western Kentucky has faced this season, the Hilltoppers allowed 45 points and 508 total yards to Toledo. Delaware is allowing 26.2 points per game, 407.8 yards per game and 5.9 yards per play this season. The Blue Hens found themselves in a 44-41 shootout with UConn and 85 combined points in their last home game. It should be more of the same Friday night in this matchup of two dead nuts OVER teams. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.
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No. 2 Ranked College Football Capper All-Time! Jack has delivered SEVEN Top-7 CFB Finishes L13 Years (#1 2024, #2 2012, #3 2018, #3 2014, #5 2016, #6 2020, #7 2017) to really put a beating on the books on the NCAA gridiron! He is riding a 1122-904 CFB Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $132,720! He finished as the No. 1 Ranked CFB Capper in 2024-25 this past season thanks to his HOT 130-80 CFB Run since last year!
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1* Free Pick on South Florida -27½
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #401 Nevada Wolf Pack over Fresno State Bulldogs (10:30p.m., Saturday, October 4 CBS Sports Network) 4-0-1 on our last 5 free plays. Nevada has been able to run the football this season and thus I see them being able to stay in this game for 60 minutes. Fresno State is 4-1 on the year, but they struggled to put away their last two FBS opponents. The Wolf Pack are coming off of a bye and I feel that they are better than what their 1-3 record would indicate. MWC teams get up for playing one another when they are going to be in different conferences next season. Take the points with Nevada on Saturday night. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring top plays in football, CFL, and horse racing. Sign-up now and let 54 years of handicapping experience work for you.
Let’s CRUSH THE BOOKS on the diamond today as the BEST BIG GAME HUNTER ON THE PLANET does what I do best…GETS YOU PAID IN BIG GAME RELEASES: TIGERS/GUARDIANS, PADRES/CUBS, and the RED SOX/YANKEES GAME 3 WINNERS. Get all 3 & go 3-0.
Thursday’s FREE NCAAF WINNER: New Mexico State Aggies.
Game 304.
6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.
GET READY TO BUST THE BOOKS in college football this week. I have several of my STRONGEST NCAAF plays of 2025 for you. All my weekend winners will be posted by late afternoon THURSDAY.
Sports fans, I've been doing this for almost 50 years, and for the life of me, I just don't see why Sam Houston is laying wood on the road in this matchup. Yes, I understand New Mexico State is a “less-than-stellar”, opponent (to put it lightly), adversary. But they are playing at home, they have won a couple of games this season, and they come into this game returning home following two away contests. Head-to-head, these two teams split matchups the last two seasons. As far as Sam Housto goes, I understand this team has played four decent opponents: Western Kentucky, UNLV, Hawaii, and Texas. Obviously, they are not supposed to win or cover against any of those foes. But they have looked downright deplorable, with a defense that has allowed a combined 171 points. Yes, it is true, the Aggies statistics offensively are some of the worst in the nation, ranking 120th in points scored, 126th in total yards, 136th in rushing yards, and 43rd in passing yards. Their defense isn't that much better, my friends. But the Beakats have turned the ball over four times, and are only accounting for 16.3 points per game, and are being outscored by an average of 26.5 points per game. They can't stop the pass at all, and their opponent has a decent quarterback. I just feel making them a favorite here is a mistake. Looks like the odd makers are setting a trap. But we're not gonna’ fall for. Take New Mexico State. Thank you.
3* on Sam Houston
Wait just a minute here. A team that is 0-4 overall SU, including 0-3 on the road is laying points on the highway to a squad that is 2-0 SU at home and the home team is a perfect 4-0 SU in their games? That makes no sense—but it makes dollars.
One of our famed anti-splits angles applies here and oh you will make a fortune in the NBA with our anti-splits bets, but that’s another story. Home field advantage is worth about three points and the SU records indicate NMS is the better team, especially with home/road splits.
When a horrific road team is not getting at least 4.5 points to a good home team (defined by SU records), listen to what the oddsmakers are telling you as going with such road teams is 704-555-27 under specific situations that apply in this game.
We have contrarian indexes worldwide: offshore, Vegas, all US states where betting is rightfully legal, and still substantial “outlaw” intel from other states. This as a very strong corroborated contrarian bet worldwide. Public underdogs are particularly big fades. The PicksDepot contrarian index has this as a strong bet.
A super sharp who knows football inside out, has assure me SHSU has a monster upside with third down conversions and will explode tonight in that category and with a win.
· Today: Duffy with 3 ET MLB Wise Guy, 2 MLB bets tonight and the TNF NFL side and total
Friday CFB Free play. My selection is on Colorado State plus the points over San Diego State at 10:30 pm et on Friday.
This sets up as a strong bounce-back spot for the Rams after their 20-3 no-show at home against Washington State. That game was more about the Cougars responding with intensity after being embarrassed in the Apple Cup than it was about Colorado State regressing. I expect a much more engaged effort from the Rams here, especially with the prospect of a three-game skid looming.
San Diego State enters off an unsightly 6-3 victory at Northern Illinois. While that technically got the job done, it didn’t do much to inspire confidence in the Aztecs’ offensive ceiling. This is not a team I want to be laying more than a field goal with, especially against a CSU squad that has already shown it can hang around in a tough environment — as it did earlier this season in a road cover at Washington.
The Rams are more balanced offensively than their last result would suggest, and defensively they’ve held their own against stiffer competition than what San Diego State brings to the table. Given the setup and matchup, I see this as a down-to-the-wire type of game.
Take Colorado State plus the points.