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FREE SPORTS PICKS – SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 15, 2026

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Sunday’s free betting card at PicksDepot features 35 selections from professional sports handicappers, with NFL divisional matchups, substantial point spreads, contrasting totals opinions and several early-season college basketball opportunities.

The biggest NFL storylines include Minnesota’s quarterback change, Seattle’s injury situation, Arizona’s rookie quarterback and the potential scoring explosion between San Francisco and Dallas. There are also several games where handicappers disagree, giving bettors an opportunity to compare the reasoning and available prices.

All selections below are credited to their individual handicappers. Odds are the published prices, and bettors should check for changes before wagering.

NFL FREE PICKS

MATT FARGO – MINNESOTA VIKINGS +3 (-115) AT GREEN BAY PACKERS – 1:00 PM ET

Fargo backs Minnesota with the full field goal in an NFC North rivalry game. The Vikings have reunited with Kirk Cousins following their disappointing offensive performance against Buffalo. Cousins threw 20 touchdowns during his stint with Las Vegas, and Fargo expects the veteran quarterback to benefit from Minnesota’s receiving personnel and familiarity with the offensive system.

Green Bay is coming off an impressive performance against New England, creating a possible overreaction in the betting market. Fargo also cites a historical situation involving winning road teams coming off home losses by at least 10 points that has produced a reported 21-7 ATS record since 2017. The full +3 is critical because a three-point Packers victory produces a push.

HUNTER PRICE – GREEN BAY PACKERS -2.5 (-115) VS. MINNESOTA VIKINGS – 1:00 PM ET

Price takes the other side of the division rivalry, backing Green Bay to win by at least three points. The Packers’ recent performance against New England provides a reason for optimism, although Minnesota’s quarterback change makes previous offensive results less useful for projecting Sunday’s game.

Green Bay must prevent Cousins from establishing a comfortable passing rhythm while taking advantage of its own offensive opportunities. The difference between Price’s -2.5 and Fargo’s Minnesota +3 is important. A three-point Green Bay victory would cash Price’s selection while pushing Fargo’s.

MIKE WILLIAMS – MINNESOTA VIKINGS +2.5 (+100) AT GREEN BAY PACKERS – 1:00 PM ET

Williams also backs Minnesota but accepts a smaller spread in exchange for even-money pricing. The Vikings must win outright or lose by no more than two points, making this a more demanding ticket than Minnesota +3.

Cousins’ return to Minnesota is the central personnel development. The quarterback’s familiarity with the organization could help the transition, although facing a division rival immediately after changing teams introduces uncertainty. Williams is taking the underdog at a more favorable payout rather than paying additional juice for the key number of three.

MAX CHASE – KANSAS CITY CHIEFS/ATLANTA FALCONS OVER 47 (-110) – 1:00 PM ET

Chase expects the Chiefs and Falcons to combine for at least 48 points. Kansas City has been highly effective running the football, averaging a reported 5.08 yards per carry, while Atlanta also has the ability to generate offense on the ground.

The Over needs touchdowns rather than lengthy drives ending in field goals. Kansas City’s defense and the possibility of a possession-oriented game are legitimate concerns, particularly if Atlanta continues to struggle generating consistent passing production. Explosive plays or short fields would substantially improve the Over’s chances.

ANDREW GOLD – KANSAS CITY CHIEFS/ATLANTA FALCONS OVER 47 (-108) – 1:00 PM ET

Gold joins Chase on the higher-scoring side of the Chiefs-Falcons matchup, securing slightly better odds at the same total. Both offenses must contribute enough scoring to reach 48 combined points, or one team must deliver an exceptionally productive afternoon.

Kansas City’s running efficiency could create favorable down-and-distance situations, while Atlanta will need to keep pace against a disciplined defense. The difference between Gold’s -108 and Chase’s -110 is small, but price comparison remains important when multiple handicappers release the same selection.

MIKE LUNDIN – KANSAS CITY CHIEFS/ATLANTA FALCONS UNDER 47.5 (-110) – 1:00 PM ET

Lundin takes the opposite position, expecting a lower-scoring contest. His handicap emphasizes Kansas City’s run-heavy approach, which can shorten games by keeping the clock moving. The Chiefs have also been effective defensively and entered the game with a 5-3 record to the Under.

Atlanta quarterback Michael Penix Jr. threw for only 162 yards in his previous outing, creating questions about the Falcons’ ability to sustain passing drives if Kansas City contains their rushing attack. The Under benefits from lengthy possessions and defensive stops. At 47.5, a finish of exactly 47 points cashes the wager.

KENNY WALKER – ATLANTA FALCONS +3 (+100) VS. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS – 1:00 PM ET

Walker takes Atlanta with the full field goal at even money. The Falcons can win outright or lose by one or two points and still cash, while a three-point defeat produces a push.

Kansas City’s defensive strength makes scoring opportunities particularly valuable for Atlanta, but the Falcons’ home-field advantage and ability to run the football provide a potential route to keeping the contest close. With a spread of exactly three points, late-game field goals and fourth-quarter possession management could determine the outcome against the number.

ROB VINCILETTI – TENNESSEE TITANS +10.5 (-105) VS. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS – 1:00 PM ET

Vinciletti backs Tennessee as a substantial home underdog against Jacksonville. His principal argument is situational: home underdogs receiving more than seven points after extended rest have historically performed well under the additional conditions he identifies.

Vinciletti reports that qualifying teams with at least 10 days’ rest have covered 14 of 16 times when satisfying his scoring criteria. He also cites Tennessee’s 8-2 ATS record in its previous 10 games with rest and Jacksonville’s difficulties covering against rested opponents. Jacksonville may be the superior team, but Tennessee can lose by 10 points and still cover.

MARC DAVID – JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS/TENNESSEE TITANS UNDER 46.5 (-110) – 1:00 PM ET

David expects Jacksonville’s defense to dominate the matchup against Tennessee’s struggling offense. The Jaguars enter 6-2 and have allowed approximately 15 points per game, while the Titans are averaging just 272 total yards per contest.

Tennessee enters 1-7 and has lost all four home games. David anticipates Jacksonville controlling the scoreboard and potentially emphasizing the running game with a lead, limiting second-half possessions. The biggest threat to the Under would be defensive turnovers or explosive plays generating short fields. The selection wins with 46 or fewer combined points.

R&R TOTALS – HOUSTON TEXANS/CLEVELAND BROWNS UNDER 41 (-108) – 1:00 PM ET

R&R Totals expects a defensive-oriented AFC matchup between Houston and Cleveland. At a total of 41, the wager benefits from conservative offensive approaches, limited explosive plays and drives that consume clock without producing touchdowns.

Houston enters after scoring 44 points against the Chargers, demonstrating the risk of taking the Under against an offense capable of producing a substantial scoring performance. Cleveland must also contribute to keeping the game under control defensively. The selection wins with 40 or fewer points, while exactly 41 produces a push.

RAY MONOHAN – HOUSTON TEXANS -4.5 (-108) AT CLEVELAND BROWNS – 1:00 PM ET

Monohan backs Houston to continue its improving offensive form. The Texans scored 44 points against the Chargers in their previous game, and Monohan believes their balanced attack creates matchup problems for Cleveland.

Houston’s ability to establish the running game could force Cleveland to defend more aggressively near the line of scrimmage, creating opportunities through the air. The Browns’ familiarity with former Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson adds an interesting storyline, but Monohan emphasizes current offensive execution rather than the emotional angle. Houston needs to win by at least five points to cover.

JIM FEIST – NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -1 (-125) VS. CAROLINA PANTHERS – 1:00 PM ET

Feist backs New Orleans in a short-priced NFC South matchup. The Saints have won two of their previous three games, including a 23-22 overtime victory over Cleveland. Quarterback Tyler Shough has thrown for 1,986 yards and 14 touchdowns, while Chris Olave has contributed 56 receptions for 734 yards.

The most important matchup involves the Saints’ pass rush against Carolina’s offensive protection. Bryce Young has been sacked nine times over the previous two games, and New Orleans is generating 2.9 sacks per contest. Carolina has also dealt with significant injuries in its secondary. The Saints must win by at least two points to cover -1, and the -125 price is considerably more expensive than standard -110 odds.

BRIAN BITLER – NEW YORK JETS +8 (-110) VS. BUFFALO BILLS – 1:00 PM ET

Bitler identifies the Jets as a contrarian home underdog against Buffalo. The Bills enter 7-1 and have attracted substantial public attention, while New York’s 2-7 record makes the Jets an unpopular selection.

However, Buffalo must win by at least nine points to cover this spread. Bitler believes a divisional matchup at MetLife Stadium creates a reasonable opportunity for New York to remain competitive. The Jets’ biggest challenge is controlling Josh Allen and avoiding turnovers that could give Buffalo short fields. Getting more than a touchdown makes the underdog appealing to the handicapper despite the substantial difference in the teams’ records.

JOE DUFFY – LAS VEGAS RAIDERS +6.5 (-109) VS. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS – 4:05 PM ET

Good to Las Vegas +6.5 at -110 or better. Take +7 if available.

Duffy backs Las Vegas in a matchup featuring significant quarterback and offensive-line developments. Seattle will start Drew Lock again while Sam Darnold remains sidelined, and the Seahawks are dealing with injuries involving left tackle Charles Cross and guard Quenton Nelson.

Las Vegas counters with rookie Fernando Mendoza making his first NFL start after Kirk Cousins was traded to Minnesota. That introduces uncertainty against an elite Seattle defense, but Duffy believes the spread accounts for more separation than the Seahawks’ offensive situation warrants.

The Raiders also qualify for a historical system involving home underdogs getting at least 3.5 points against road favorites coming off three consecutive home games. Duffy reports that the situation has produced a 45-18 ATS record, covering 71.4% with a 36.4% ROI. He also identifies substantial contrarian support for Las Vegas. With the game totaled at 40.5, Seattle needs to win by a touchdown to cover.

STEPHEN NOVER – LAS VEGAS RAIDERS +6.5 (-108) VS. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS – 4:05 PM ET

Nover agrees with the Raiders selection, focusing on the emotional and tactical elements surrounding Mendoza’s NFL debut. Raiders head coach Klint Kubiak knows Seattle’s defensive personnel from serving as the Seahawks’ offensive coordinator last season, a potential advantage when preparing his rookie quarterback.

Seattle is also dealing with injuries along the left side of its offensive line and is playing another game without Darnold. Nover believes the Raiders will be particularly motivated at home and can remain competitive even if Seattle’s defense controls portions of the game. His published -108 price is slightly more favorable than Duffy’s -109.

JIMMY BOYD – LAS VEGAS RAIDERS +3.5 (-110) VS. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS – 4:05 PM ET

Boyd takes Las Vegas at a smaller spread than Duffy and Nover. His analysis emphasizes the reduction in Seattle’s offensive production with Lock replacing Darnold. The Seahawks have scored 17 points in consecutive games, and their passing attack has not consistently generated the explosive production seen earlier in the season.

Seattle’s offensive-line injuries add another concern, particularly if Las Vegas can force obvious passing situations. The Raiders have enough offensive talent, including tight end Brock Bowers, to threaten Seattle despite the difficulty of facing the league’s leading defense by yards allowed. The published +3.5 is materially less attractive than +6.5, making line shopping especially important.

OLIVER SMITH – SEATTLE SEAHAWKS/LAS VEGAS RAIDERS UNDER 40.5 (-108) – 4:05 PM ET

Smith expects the quarterback changes and Seattle’s defensive strength to produce a relatively low-scoring game. The Seahawks have allowed a league-low 244.2 yards per contest, and Mendoza will make his professional starting debut against a defense capable of creating substantial pressure.

Seattle is also working with a backup quarterback and an injured offensive line, factors that could limit its own scoring ceiling. The Under requires 40 or fewer combined points and would benefit from conservative play-calling, long possessions and difficulty converting red-zone opportunities into touchdowns.

DAVE PRICE – SEATTLE SEAHAWKS/LAS VEGAS RAIDERS OVER 40.5 (-107) – 4:05 PM ET

Price takes the opposing total position. He believes the market has adjusted too aggressively to Mendoza’s debut and Seattle’s quarterback situation. Price expects Las Vegas to give Mendoza a meaningful opportunity to operate its offense rather than restrict him entirely to conservative play-calling.

The Raiders’ defense has been the major concern. According to Price’s analysis, Las Vegas allows 29.8 points and 385.8 yards per game, and its previous seven games have all finished Over the posted total. Seattle’s returning offensive weapons create opportunities against that defense. The wager needs 41 or more combined points.

BRANDON LEE – ARIZONA CARDINALS +10 (-120) VS. LOS ANGELES RAMS – 4:05 PM ET

Lee backs Arizona with double-digit points against a Rams team carrying substantially stronger recent form. The Cardinals face a difficult offensive situation with rookie Carson Beck taking over at quarterback, but the 10-point cushion allows Arizona to remain competitive against the spread without threatening an outright upset.

The Rams must win by at least 11 to cover, and their offensive receiving injuries are particularly relevant if Arizona can limit explosive plays. The -120 price is expensive for an underdog spread, and a 10-point Rams victory would push rather than cash the ticket.

SEAN MURPHY – ARIZONA CARDINALS +10 (-120) VS. LOS ANGELES RAMS – 4:05 PM ET

Murphy also backs Arizona, noting the Rams arrive following three straight victories both outright and against the spread. Los Angeles recently welcomed Myles Garrett back defensively, but the Cardinals have continued playing competitively despite their personnel difficulties.

Arizona has split its previous four games, and Murphy reports that the Cardinals have held six of their nine opponents to 5.8 yards per play or fewer. The Rams are also dealing with important receiving absences involving Puka Nacua and Davante Adams. Murphy expects a potentially unattractive, defense-oriented matchup in which Arizona can remain inside the double-digit spread.

JACK JONES – SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS -3.5 (-115) AT DALLAS COWBOYS – 4:25 PM ET

Jones backs San Francisco based on advantages on both sides of the football. The 49ers enter 7-1 and have averaged 29.4 points and 378.1 yards per game, while ranking among the league’s leaders in yards per play.

Their defense has been equally impressive, allowing 19.5 points and 291.9 yards per contest. San Francisco has also benefited from improving health, including Nick Bosa’s return and the addition of DeForest Buckner.

Dallas has a productive offense of its own, averaging 27.3 points, but its defense has struggled considerably. The Cowboys allow 26.2 points and 372.7 yards per game and are dealing with multiple injuries in their secondary. Jones believes the 49ers’ offensive versatility will exploit those weaknesses and create enough separation to cover 3.5 points.

ALEX SMART – SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS/DALLAS COWBOYS OVER 55.5 (-110) – 4:25 PM ET

Smart expects one of Sunday’s highest-scoring NFL matchups. San Francisco’s Brock Purdy has been exceptionally efficient, combining 17 touchdown passes with just five interceptions, while Christian McCaffrey continues to stress opposing defenses as both a runner and receiver.

Dallas counters with Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb, giving the Cowboys the passing personnel to contribute substantial scoring even if their defense struggles.

The strongest matchup advantage involves San Francisco’s running game against a Dallas defense allowing more than 140 rushing yards per game. Smart also notes that the Cowboys have had difficulty stopping opponents on third down, allowing drives to continue and creating additional scoring opportunities. The indoor setting eliminates wind as a concern, but 55.5 remains a demanding total requiring at least 56 combined points.

JOHN MARTIN – CINCINNATI BENGALS -3.5 (-105) VS. PITTSBURGH STEELERS – 8:20 PM ET

Martin backs Cincinnati in a revenge matchup after the Bengals lost 30-27 at Pittsburgh earlier this season. Cincinnati has since won four consecutive games, each by at least seven points, including a 34-17 victory over Atlanta.

Pittsburgh enters from its bye following four straight victories of its own. Martin questions the strength of the Steelers’ recent schedule and believes Cincinnati is the more reliable side in the rematch. He also reports that the Bengals have gone 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games when facing a rest disadvantage of at least three days. The Bengals need to win by four or more points to cover.

PURE LOCK – PITTSBURGH STEELERS +3.5 (-110) AT CINCINNATI BENGALS – 8:20 PM ET

Pure Lock takes Pittsburgh with the hook above a field goal. The Steelers enter on a four-game winning streak and have the benefit of additional preparation following their bye.

Cincinnati’s recent improvement is a concern for Pittsburgh backers, but the +3.5 protects against a Bengals victory by exactly three points. In a rivalry rematch where the first meeting finished 30-27, that half-point could be particularly important. Pittsburgh must keep Cincinnati’s offense from creating early separation and maintain enough scoring consistency to remain competitive.

PROSPORTSPICKS – PITTSBURGH STEELERS +3.5 (-110) AT CINCINNATI BENGALS – 8:20 PM ET

ProSportsPicks also backs Pittsburgh, relying on its data-driven approach and historical ATS trends. The handicapper reports that the Steelers have gone 7-3 ATS in their previous 10 games and have produced the same 7-3 ATS record over their last 10 meetings with Cincinnati.

Those trends support the underdog argument but do not eliminate the threat posed by Cincinnati’s four-game winning streak. The key betting distinction is the extra half-point beyond a field goal, which allows Pittsburgh to cash even if the Bengals win a close three-point contest.

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ROCKY ATKINSON – UTAH UTES -2.5 (-110) VS. WASHINGTON HUSKIES – 2:00 PM ET

Atkinson backs Utah in a matchup between undefeated early-season teams. The Utes enter 3-0, while Washington is 2-0. Utah has been particularly effective defensively, allowing just 61.3 points per game entering Sunday’s matchup.

Atkinson also cites unfavorable historical results for Washington following victories by double digits. The Utes’ home-court advantage and defensive profile provide the central reasons for laying a short spread. Utah needs to win by three or more points, making late-game execution important in a matchup where neither team has suffered a loss.

RICKY TRAN – UTAH UTES ML -135 VS. WASHINGTON HUSKIES – 2:00 PM ET

Tran backs Utah outright rather than laying the point spread. His analysis emphasizes Utah’s 3-0 start, recent home results and Washington’s less impressive record over its previous 14 games dating across seasons.

The moneyline provides protection against a narrow Utah victory that might not cover the spread. However, the -135 price requires an implied win probability of approximately 57.4% to break even. Tran believes Utah’s current form and home-court advantage make the Utes the better straight-up selection.

CALVIN KING – CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD +4.5 (-110) AT NORTH DAKOTA STATE – 2:00 PM ET

King backs undefeated Cal State Bakersfield in a rematch against North Dakota State. The Roadrunners enter 3-0 following a 91-83 victory over Western Illinois, with Kjay Bradley Jr. contributing 25 points.

These teams already met November 8, with Bakersfield winning 91-80 behind 41 points from Jaden Alexander. North Dakota State is 2-3 overall but undefeated in two home games, making the change of venue significant. The Bison will have an opportunity to adjust defensively after the first meeting, but Bakersfield receives 4.5 points despite having already beaten this opponent by double digits.

MATT SULLIVAN – BAYLOR BEARS +5.5 (-105) VS. TEXAS LONGHORNS – 3:00 PM ET

Sullivan takes Baylor in a neutral-site meeting at the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio. Both teams enter 3-0, with No. 7 Texas favored after an impressive offensive start.

The Longhorns have averaged approximately 100 points per game, but Baylor presents a more substantial challenge than their earlier opponents. The Bears have offensive talent of their own and enough size to compete inside.

Sullivan’s selection focuses on getting more than five points in a matchup where both teams have demonstrated early-season scoring ability. Baylor can lose by five and still cover, while Texas needs to establish separation against an opponent accustomed to facing high-level competition.

BLACK WIDOW – BAYLOR BEARS +5.5 (-105) VS. TEXAS LONGHORNS – 3:00 PM ET

Black Widow joins Sullivan on Baylor with the same published number and price. The Bears and Longhorns renew a familiar rivalry on a neutral floor, reducing the usual home-court advantage that might otherwise favor Texas.

Texas has been extremely efficient offensively, but Baylor’s ability to score and rebound gives the Bears a potential path to staying within the spread. This matchup represents a much more demanding early-season test for both programs. The 5.5-point cushion is meaningful if the contest remains within two possessions into the closing minutes.

STEVE JANUS – OREGON DUCKS -13 (-104) VS. PEPPERDINE WAVES – 5:00 PM ET

Janus backs Oregon at home against Pepperdine. The Ducks enter 3-0, while Pepperdine is 2-2 after losing 85-77 at Sam Houston.

The Waves demonstrated resilience in that defeat, trimming a 15-point second-half deficit to just two points late in the contest. However, Oregon presents another substantial road challenge, particularly with the Ducks able to utilize their size and athleticism at Matthew Knight Arena.

Oregon needs to win by at least 14 points to cover. The -104 price offers slightly better value than the standard -110, although Pepperdine’s ability to remain competitive late remains a concern for anyone laying double digits.

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TOTALS GURU – CHARLOTTE HORNETS/LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS UNDER 215.5 (-105) – 4:40 PM ET

Totals Guru expects a relatively modest scoring output when Charlotte visits the Clippers. The Hornets have played at one of the league’s slower tempos, while both teams have dealt with injuries affecting their offensive rotations.

Charlotte enters following a 101-96 defeat at Phoenix, illustrating how its lower-possession games can finish comfortably beneath this number. The Clippers are also facing personnel concerns, including absences among several scoring contributors.

The Under benefits if Charlotte maintains its slower pace and the teams are forced to operate primarily in the half court. The principal threat is Los Angeles turning defensive opportunities into transition points. The wager wins with 215 or fewer combined points.

INFO PLAYS – SAN ANTONIO SPURS -17 (-115) AT UTAH JAZZ – 5:10 PM ET

Info Plays lays an enormous spread with San Antonio against struggling Utah. The Spurs enter 11-2 and have won 11 consecutive games, while the Jazz have lost 11 straight and are dealing with significant frontcourt injuries.

Utah’s absences include Lauri Markkanen, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jusuf Nurkic, creating a particularly difficult matchup against Victor Wembanyama and San Antonio’s talented frontcourt.

The Spurs recently defeated Utah 119-97, demonstrating their ability to create the necessary separation. However, laying 17 points means San Antonio needs an 18-point victory, and late-game substitutions or a fourth-quarter Jazz run could threaten the cover even if the favorite dominates most of the contest.

TIMOTHY BLACK – SAN ANTONIO SPURS/UTAH JAZZ OVER 223.5 (-110) – 5:10 PM ET

Black backs the Over in the same matchup, seeking at least 224 combined points. San Antonio’s offensive production has been exceptional during its winning streak, and Utah has struggled defensively while dealing with injuries to several important frontcourt players.

The Spurs have the ability to generate efficient interior scoring, transition opportunities and offensive rebounds against the shorthanded Jazz. The obstacle is Utah’s own offense, which must contribute enough to reach the total unless San Antonio produces an exceptional scoring performance. A lopsided game could also introduce considerable uncertainty regarding fourth-quarter scoring.

MIKEY SPORTS – ATLANTA HAWKS -7.5 (-110) AT MILWAUKEE BUCKS – 8:10 PM ET

Mikey Sports backs Atlanta against a Milwaukee team enduring a difficult early season. The Hawks enter 7-5 and have won four of their previous five games, while the Bucks are 1-11 and have lost five consecutive contests.

Atlanta has averaged approximately 118 points per game, giving the Hawks a substantial offensive advantage over a Milwaukee team averaging fewer than 107. The Bucks have also struggled defensively, allowing more than 121 points per contest.

Atlanta must win by eight or more points to cover. Milwaukee’s home-court advantage and the possibility of a competitive shooting performance present the primary risks, but the Hawks’ stronger recent form supports Mikey Sports’ preference for the road favorite.

JOE DUFFY’S HISTORICAL SPORTS BETTING ARCHIVE

Most betting advice disappears when the next hot trend arrives. Joe Duffy has been explaining handicapping principles, historical betting systems, line value and contrarian sports betting strategies for decades.

Go back through his historical sports betting videos and discover the concepts he has emphasized throughout his career. The games and betting markets change, but understanding value, price and public perception remains an important part of responsible sports handicapping.

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