Free Play – Take #610 California +7 over Syracuse (7:00 p.m. ET, Wednesday, Feb. 11)

Cal and Syracuse are below-average ACC teams with losing records. Most ratings have them about even to modestly favoring the Golden Bears, who are 17-7 compared to the Orange at 13-11. The ‘Cuse has been struggling at 1-6 (3-4 ATS), while Cal has played better at 4-2 SU/ATS in the same timeframe. The Bears take to the road after a humbling 22-point home loss to a ranked Clemson crew. That sets up nicely for California, as underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points, outscoring their opponents by 5 to 6.5 PPG, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half, are 36-11 ATS. This line has shot up from 3.5 to 7, and I have not found any injuries; thus, I prefer the value. Free Picks (962-777 long-term)

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The Knicks played defense last night, as they did before their team meeting, extremely poorly, in allowing the Pacers to make 51.5% of their shots in the OT loss. New York should be motivated after that lack of effort. Philly is back home after a five-game road trip, which was 3-2. This is the last regular season meeting between these clubs, and the visitor is 3-0 SU. I’ll say it goes to 4-0. Plus, I like that road teams scoring 114-118 PPG, against a defensive team permitting 114-118 PPG after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more, are 33-11 SU.

The Clippers shot 41% for the game at Houston, 26% on threes, and made only 65% from the charity stripe. The Clips also gave up 50% on Houston deep shots and only lost by 7 points as 9.5-point road dogs. Not wanting to be swept in back-to-back games in H-Town, I’ll say L.A. has more offensive juice, and they are 7-2 ATS away off a road setback. 

The Pirates have lost six of eight and have struggled on the glass. The Friars are only 3-7 in last 10 but have won their last two and are on a 5-2 ATS move. With Seton Hall 3-17 SU after a Big East setback, I’ll take the digits. 

Troy is atop the SBC and has been excellent on the road at 8-4 (9-3 ATS). Nonetheless, Texas State is 11-1 SU on its floor, and the total suggests a slower-paced game, which favors the home underdog. One has to consider the Trojans are 12-2 ATS as road faves, yet the Bobcats are 17-2 SU at home off an ATS win. Grabbing the points. 

Wofford has moved to 2nd place in the Southern on a 6-2 SU run, covering seven of those. Samford has gotten back to .500 in SC play on a 4-1 SU surge, covering each contest. At the moment, I’m seeing these rivals playing at the same level, but I like the visitor is 5-1 SU on the conference road and 13-1 ATS in away games versus teams forcing 14 or fewer TO’s after 15+ games.

Maryland is a poor team. The Terps are 2-10 SU in conference play, losing by an average of 14.8 PPG. Iowa fans are still seeing plenty of offense, as they did under the previous regime. What is different in these Hawkeyes is that they play good defense from five feet out from the basket. As long as Iowa shows up mentally, they win and cover, and they are 8-0 ATS in away games after one or more consecutive Overs, winning by 13.1 PPG.