The Toronto Maple Leafs roll into Boston riding a league-best 14-2 Over trend, while the last four regular-season meetings at TD Garden have all gone to overtime. With both teams firing on offense and the total set at 6.5, this Original Six showdown Im betting is primed for another high-scoring classic.

Pertinent Trends: Toronto leads the NHL in Overs (14-2, 87.5%) – averaging a combined 6.94 combined goals per game.Boston home games: 7-2 to the Over (6.3 goals/game).Last 4 TOR-BOS at TD Garden: 5-4 OT, 6-4, 4-0, 4-3 OT ... 3 of 4 cleared 6.5. . these teams have taken part in 4 straight OT games in Boston – the longest active streak in the NHL.

Leafs allow 3.2 GA/game (20th); Bruins rank 9th in shots/game (32.1).Power plays clicking: TOR 3rd (26.7%), BOS 7th (24.1%). One PP goal each equals push to 7.....

Play over

  Denver is playing excellent, balanced basketball, ranking top-3 in both scoring and defense. Their 4-game win streak includes an earlier victory over Sacramento.

  The Nuggets have been great on the road against the spread (4-1 ATS in their last 5 away games).

  While Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon are listed as Probable for Denver, the Kings' star center Domantas Sabonis is Questionable with a rib contusion and Keegan Murray is Out. The potential absence or limitation of Sabonis removes Sacramento's key defensive anchor and rebounder, which is a massive advantage for Nikola Jokic.

  The Nuggets have been dominant, winning seven of the last 10 matchups and are currently on a six-game win streak against the Kings.

Nuggets are 7–3 ATS in their last 10 vs. Kings.

Denver has covered by an average of 12.4 points in those meetings.

Play on Denver Nuggets to cover

The Bluegrass State rivalry tips off once again Tuesday night as Kentucky visits Louisville in a matchup loaded with storylines, bragging rights, and betting value. While Louisville’s home crowd and offensive potential always make them dangerous, the Wildcats’ superior talent, depth, and coaching give them a decisive edge heading into this year’s clash.

Kentucky enters this matchup with a roster stacked from top to bottom. Between dynamic freshman guards and improved perimeter shooting, the Wildcats look every bit the part of a top-10 team. Their offensive flow has been outstanding early this season, ranking among the top 25 nationally in points per game and adjusted efficiency.

On the defensive end, Kentucky’s length on the perimeter and disciplined rotations have been enough to neutralize high-volume scorers... exactly what they’ll need against a Louisville team that thrives in transition.

 
Louisville’s offense is fast and explosive, capable of scoring in bunches when their shooters heat up. The concern, however, remains on the defensive end. The Cardinals rank outside the top 100 nationally in points allowed to opposing guards.. a glaring weakness when facing Kentucky’s athletic backcourt. Their rebounding effort and defensive communication have been inconsistent, making it difficult to sustain momentum against elite teams.

The difference likely comes down to guard play. Kentucky’s D.J. Wagner and Justin Oweh should thrive attacking Louisville’s perimeter defense, which has struggled to contain quick first steps and ball movement. Expect Kentucky’s shooters to find open looks from deep, stretching the defense and forcing the Cardinals to play catch-up.

Kentucky is 4–1 ATS in its last five games against Louisville.

The Wildcats have covered in 10 of the last 13 meetings overall.

 Louisville will make some runs behind its home crowd and offensive tempo, but Kentucky’s discipline, depth, and talent advantage are too much to ignore. The Wildcats’ guards should control the pace, and their shooters will punish Louisville’s porous perimeter defense

Akron -5.5 is a strong play here. Kent State's offense is one of the least efficient in FBS, averaging just 18 PPG and struggling to sustain drives against even average defenses. Akron's unit, while not elite, forces turnovers at a top-15 rate and has been stingy in the red zone (11th nationally). That combo should keep Kent State under 17 points.

On the flip side, Akron leans heavily on the run with Jordan Gant, who’s been a workhorse in cold-weather MAC games. Windy, low-30s conditions blunt passing attacks—Kent State barely throws effectively anyway—and favor grind-it-out football, which plays into Akron’s hands at home.

The Zips have owned this rivalry lately (2 straight wins, 3-1 ATS in last 4 at home vs. KSU), and with a six-win season on the line (even if bowl-ineligible), motivation won’t be an issue.

Kent State in away or neutral games in games played on turf are 1-10 ATS L/11 with a combined average ppg diff of -28.4.

Play on Akron to cover