Baltimore finally won a game in September. The Orioles are 35-38 at home this year, and the Guardians are 37-33 on the road. Cleveland has won three of their last five games, but they have allowed six runs in three of those five. Both pitchers have been inconsistent, but Baltimore's Young has pitched better lately. I will take Baltimore to win their second in a row.

Play on Baltimore. This is a FREE play.

Lodolo has posted a 5.08 ERA and 1.52 WHIP this season. He has allowed 29 hits and 16 runs in his last 22.1 innings. He has been even worse on the road, posting a 6.00 ERA. Skubal has allowed 12 earned runs in his last 35.2 innings. The Dodgers have an advantage on the mound an in overall talent. They are chasing the Brewers and need these wins over inferior teams.

Play on LA minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play.

The Yankees have an advantage on the mound and at the plate. New York’s starting pitcher Cam Schlittler has allowed one earned run or fewer in five of his last six starts. Colorado’s starter Hughes has posted a 6.19 ERA. The Rockies are just 25-47 on the road. Take the Yankees on the run line to maximize value.

Play on New York minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 77-68 overall. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Diamondbacks. He was 3-2 with a 2.66 ERA and 63 strikeouts in the 2025 season. Burnes is 3-0 with a 2.15 ERA and 32 strikeouts in his career against the Kansas City Royals. The Kansas City Royals are 64-81 overall. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 4.69 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. Michael Wacha gets the start for Kansas City. He is 9-8 with a 3.36 ERA and 143 strikeouts this season. Wacha is 2-2 with a 5.06 ERA and 42 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Diamondbacks are in the playoff race and need to take advantage of these spots. 

Play on Arizona. This is a 3% play.

The Washington Nationals are 67-79 overall. The Washington pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. Riley Cornelio gets the start for Washington. He is 2-2 with a 5.96 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. The San Diego Padres are 76-68 overall. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Casey Mize gets the start for San Diego. He is 5-9 with a 3.64 ERA and 100 strikeouts this season. The Nationals have lost 17 of their last 18 road games against NL opponents. The Padres are still in the playoff hunt. Cornelio has a 5.96 ERA and 1.81 WHIP, and he’s pitched just twice since August. Mize has posted a 3.64 ERA and 1.12 WHIP, and he has a 2.98 ERA at home. These are games the Padres have to win to make the playoffs.

Play on San Diego. This is a 3% play